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AIQ Turned $10,000 Into $13,400 in Six Months as AI Chips Soared 34% YTD

AIQ Turned $10,000 Into $13,400 in Six Months as AI Chips Soared 34% YTD

Austin SmithSun, June 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM UTC

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AIQ has surged 34% YTD and 65% over twelve months, nearly tripling SPY's returns on the back of AI semiconductor dominance.

NVDA's 85% revenue growth and GOOGL's $175 billion 2026 CapEx plan drove AIQ's gains but set expectations too high to easily beat.

Broadcom's 13% single-day drop despite 143% AI revenue growth signals AIQ's concentration now punishes misses as harshly as it once rewarded beats.

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If you put $10,000 into the Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (NASDAQ:AIQ) on the last trading day of 2025, you are sitting on roughly $13,400 as of Thursday's close, with the fund up 34% year to date against the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) at 11%. Stretch the lens to the trailing 12 months and AIQ is up 65% versus 27% for the S&P 500. That is the simplest way to say what has happened, and it is the reason your group chat keeps sending you screenshots.

The arithmetic, cleanly

AIQ closed Thursday at $68, down 2% on the day after touching an intraday high of $69. The starting point for the YTD math is $51 on December 31, 2025. The starting point for the trailing 12-month math is $41 on June 4, 2025. These are adjusted prices, so distributions are baked in, which matters less for AIQ than for an income-heavy fund (the yield is modest), but you should still treat the headline as a total-return number rather than a price-only one.

The fund itself is not small anymore. Net assets sat at $6.97 billion as of the April fact sheet, down from $7.80 billion at the end of February, which tells you the price has been doing the heavy lifting on AUM and that flows have been choppier than the chart suggests. The expense ratio is 0.68%, which is what you pay for a thematic wrapper that does something the S&P 500 will not do for you, which we will get to.

What actually did the work

AIQ holds 101 positions, but the top of the book tells most of the story, and the top of the book looks different from a QQQ clone. The two largest weights are Samsung Electronics at 4.58% and SK hynix at 4.53%, the Korean memory duopoly that prints the high-bandwidth DRAM that lives next to every NVIDIA accelerator. Taiwan Semiconductor sits at 3.61%. Stack the dedicated chip names together and AIQ is running something like a 35% semiconductor weight, with another large block in U.S. mega-caps such as Apple, Meta, Cisco, Microsoft, and the three tickers anchoring this article.

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) sits at 3.02% of the fund and is up 54% over the trailing 12 months. The Q1 FY27 report on May 20 delivered $81.61 billion in revenue, up 85.2% year over year, with Data Center alone at $75.25 billion and Data Center Networking up 199%. Jensen Huang described "the buildout of AI factories, the largest infrastructure expansion in human history," and guided Q2 to $91.0 billion. Non-GAAP gross margin held at 75.0%, which is the number to watch because it tells you whether pricing power is still intact.

Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) is 3.10% of AIQ and up 62% over twelve months. Its Q2 FY26 report on June 3 showed AI semiconductor revenue of $10.8 billion, up 143%, and Hock Tan guided Q3 AI semi revenue to $16.0 billion, which would mark 200%+ year-over-year growth. The stock then dropped 13% on Thursday as the market re-rated the print, and prediction-market and news sentiment on AVGO collapsed from the mid-60s to 25.48 in roughly a week. The growth is real. The reaction is a reminder that AIQ's mega-cap weights cut both ways on a daily basis.

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Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is the cleanest mechanism story in the bunch and the only top-ten name up triple digits over twelve months, at 122%. Q1 FY26 on April 29 printed Google Cloud revenue of $20.03 billion, up 63%, and Sundar Pichai noted that cloud backlog had "nearly doubled quarter on quarter to over $460 billion." Alphabet then guided 2026 CapEx to $175 billion to $185 billion. That number, more than any single chart, is why AIQ has worked. Hyperscaler CapEx is the demand side of the chip names that dominate the fund.

There is also the wrapper benefit. AIQ owns Samsung and SK hynix directly, neither of which trades on a U.S. exchange in a form most retail brokers will let you buy easily. When Korean memory and Taiwanese foundry exposure was the trade in 2025 and the first half of 2026, the fund picked up differentiation that a NASDAQ-100 tracker structurally cannot.

Whether the conditions still hold

The mechanism here is regime-dependent, and that matters for what you do next. AIQ has worked because AI CapEx kept compounding, mega-cap chip earnings kept beating, and foreign memory names rallied alongside the U.S. names. The question is whether each leg still has runway.

Three indicators are worth following, and you can pull all of them yourself. The first is NVIDIA's Data Center quarterly run-rate and that 75.0% non-GAAP gross margin. As long as the margin holds and the run-rate keeps stepping up, the chip leg is intact. The second is hyperscaler CapEx guidance. Alphabet at $175 billion to $185 billion for 2026 is the anchor; any negative revision from Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, or Amazon would land hard on AIQ's top ten. The third is the Broadcom AI semi cadence, where the $16.0 billion Q3 guide implies an annualized run-rate well above $60 billion. Thursday's reaction is the early warning that the bar is now set high enough that meeting it no longer pays the same way beating it used to.

Sentiment is mixed in a way that fits the setup. Composite sentiment on AIQ itself reads 66.42, bullish with medium confidence. Alphabet sentiment is climbing, NVIDIA is neutral, Broadcom just cratered. That is what late-cycle AI exposure looks like when valuations are no longer cheap and earnings have to do the work alone.

The honest read is that AIQ is the simplest one-ticker way to own the AI megatrend, and it has earned the YTD and 12-month numbers fairly. The setup is broadly intact at a much higher valuation, which changes the expected return from here even if direction stays the same. If hyperscaler CapEx guidance starts coming down and NVIDIA's Data Center growth rate decelerates faster than the multiple compresses, the same concentration that made the fund work in 2025 and the first half of 2026 will work the other way. The number to keep on a sticky note is Alphabet's next CapEx update. That is the demand signal everything else in the top ten is sized against.

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